{"id":901,"date":"2010-03-17T00:01:38","date_gmt":"2010-03-17T00:01:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/?p=901"},"modified":"2010-03-16T23:47:27","modified_gmt":"2010-03-16T23:47:27","slug":"franzoesische-wahlen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/?p=901","title":{"rendered":"Franz\u00f6sische Wahlen"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Von Elisabeth Gauthier liegt eine informative Zusammenstellung vor:<\/p>\n<p><strong>The French regional elections reflect the crisis of the political system and modify the political balance of forces. Some characteristics.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>A new      abstention record: 53,6%.<\/strong> The Regional elections are national elections in the sense that all      regions vote at the same day, but they are not considered as structuring      the national political power as the presidential or legislative elections.      The different Left lists developed argumentations saying that the regions      could \/ should become counter-powers to Sarkozy\u2019s anti-social reforms,      spaces with a better protection for the populations.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The worst      result for the parliamentary Right since the beginning of the 5<sup>th<\/sup> Republic.<\/strong> A punishment of Sarkozy and the government. 26,3% for the UMP,      without reserves for the second round. It is quite unlikely that the UMP      can win one new region, and it is possible that the president\u2019s party      loses one of the 2 Regions governed by them since 2004.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Front      National benefits<\/strong> from the loss of trust in the UMP, the rising      resentments during the crisis, and the tensions triggered by the public      debate on \u201cnational identity\u201d initiated by the President Sarkozy aiming at      mobilizing far right voters for the UMP. The FN scores 11,6% (15% in 2004;      but higher than in the European elections). Jean Marie Le Pen himself attained      20% in a southern region with very big inequalities, and his daughter \u00a0almost19% in a (poor) northern region.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Socialist      Party became the first party,<\/strong> with 29,5%. Probably it will be able to      win 20 or 21 Regions from the 22. (2004: 20\/22). The best      result is attained by Segolene Royal in her Region (39%): However she lost      her influence inside her party. The socialist party progressed      compared to 2004, and particularly compared to the European Elections      (16,8%). This does not mean that the voters regained trust in the Left.      69% think that neither the Right nor the Left is able to overcome the      crisis.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Europe Ecology      attains 12,5%.<\/strong> In 2004, the Greens were generally on the      PS-leaded lists since the first round. In 2010, Europe Ecology\u00a0 presents autonomous lists in the first      round (with green activists and personalities from the civil society). The      result give to this lists a higher influence, but less compared to the      European elections (16,3%).<\/li>\n<li><strong>The defy to      prevent a center-left alliance and to give momentum to a new left      dynamic. <\/strong>Bayrou\u2019s Modem      doesn\u2019t pass the barrier of 5% and therefore is not able to merge for the      second round and to become the partner for a new kind of gathering of      political forces in the center, in accordance with Cohn Bendit\u2019s Europe      Ecology, or Royal\u2019s currant in the Socialist Party. The gap right\/left so is      confirmed. Europe Ecology is obliged to stay positioned within the left.      The Socialist Party was in this last period obliged to appear more susceptible      to the social questions. The Front de Gauche presented as on of the main      aims of its lists to exceed the score of the Modem, to favour the      emergence of a new really left dynamic and\u00a0      to prevent alliances between the Left and the Modem.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Besancenot\u2019s      NPA (2,5%), refusing (except in 2 regions) the alliance with the Front de      Gauche, appeared as isolated,<\/strong> and could not reach the 5%. This has not been the case in the Region Ile de France where      Besancenot was candidate. While all the composites of the\u00a0 so called \u2018governmental left\u2019 are in      progress, it is not the case for the NPA nor LO.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Le Front de Gauche is the third left force. A<\/strong>ll the comments acknowledge that it still is part of the political      landscape and that this fact can not be ignored by the Socialist Party. It      is composed by PCF, the new \u201cParti de Gauche\u201d, the \u201cGauche Unitaire\u201d      (former NPA members) and other little left organisations, with the      contribution of trade unionists and personalities form the civil society)      and it was able to present lists in 17 \/ 22 Regions. The national average      is 5,9 %, but in the 17 Regions, the average is 6,95%, a little progress      since the European elections (6,45). One region 4,7%; and 4 Regions more      than 10% (the highest result Auvergne      14,3%). In 2 Regions good results with participation of the NPA (8% Languedoc Roussillon; 13,13% Limousin). R\u00e9gion Ile de      France 6,6%.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Von Elisabeth Gauthier liegt eine informative Zusammenstellung vor: The French regional elections reflect the crisis of the political system and modify the political balance of forces. Some characteristics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-linke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=901"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/901\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":918,"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/901\/revisions\/918"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rainer-rilling.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}